S7

10 crypto strategies, paper-traded live

Each starts with $1,000 in paper money on BTC, ETH and SOL. The rules come from CoinQuant's public strategy library. Results are net of realistic exchange costs, and the benchmark is plain buy-and-hold.

Loading Simulated paper trading · $1,000 per strategy · every trade shown.
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Leaderboard

Return on the $1,000 start, closed trades plus open positions marked at the latest price (selling costs included).

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small sample fewer than 10 closed trades, so the numbers say little yet. vs buy-and-hold is the return minus buy-and-hold over the same period, in percentage points. Backtest is the same rules from 2022 to 2026-09-27, averaged over the three pairs, at Kraken costs.

What the bots are watching

How far each strategy is from its next buy (or, while holding, its next sell), as of the last closed bar. Nearest to a trigger first. Tap a cell for the full rule.

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flat, waiting to buy holding, waiting to sell close to a trigger

Equity curves

Return on $1,000 since each strategy started, as simulated with Kraken costs. Showing the top 3 and buy-and-hold; tap a name to show or hide it.

Recent trades 0

Newest first, across all strategies. P&L is after the simulated fees and spread.

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▸ What the backtest said (2022 → 2026-09-27) 0 / 10 passed

At realistic exchange fees none of the 10 passed. 5 of 10 made money at CoinQuant's flat 0.1% fee, but only 1 did at Kraken's costs, so costs, not signals, are the main problem. We're running them live anyway to see.

StrategyAt Kraken costsAt CoinQuant 0.1%Tradesvs buy-and-holdProfit factorGate
Buy and Hold (benchmark) +7% +8% 3 — 1.35 BENCHMARK
Ichimoku Cloud 4H +3% +155% 185 -4 pp 1.01 FAIL
EMA 21/55 4H -5% +226% 266 -12 pp 0.98 FAIL
MTF RSI 4H + 1D SMA200 filter -35% -7% 67 -42 pp 0.60 FAIL
RSI(14) Mean Reversion 4H -71% -41% 133 -77 pp 0.50 FAIL
MACD + RSI>50 + SMA200 4H -76% +104% 449 -83 pp 0.65 FAIL
Donchian(20) Breakout 4H -91% +31% 548 -97 pp 0.60 FAIL
MACD(12,26,9) + RSI>50 4H -93% +92% 685 -100 pp 0.59 FAIL
2.5% below SMA20 4H -97% -65% 605 -104 pp 0.30 FAIL
Supertrend(10,3) 1H -100% -47% 1419 -106 pp 0.39 FAIL
1.25% below SMA20 1H -100% -80% 2407 -106 pp 0.14 FAIL

Returns are the average over BTC, ETH and SOL, each from $1,000 with 100% of equity per trade, long only, filled at the bar close. Kraken costs are 0.82% per side (fee plus half-spread) vs CoinQuant's flat 0.10%. Gate: pooled profit factor of at least 1.1 at Kraken costs and 20+ trades on every pair. Past and simulated results don't predict future ones.

The strategies

Rules as published by CoinQuant. "CoinQuant reported" is their own backtest with their own dates and fees, so it isn't comparable to our numbers. Each strategy page has the full detail.

Buy and Hold (benchmark) 4H benchmark
Buy on the first valid bar, never sell. Benchmark for all crypto bots.
Our backtest: +7% at Kraken costs
Supertrend(10,3) 1H 1H
Long when Supertrend(10,3) flips bullish, flat when it flips bearish.
Our backtest: -100% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +1889%, DD 71%, PF 1.12, 758 trades (2017-2026). Big sample, thin edge; likely lost to B&H
Ichimoku Cloud 4H 4H
Tenkan/Kijun bull cross above the cloud; exit on close below the cloud.
Our backtest: +3% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +1086%, DD 31%, PF 1.61, 108 trades. Good
Donchian(20) Breakout 4H 4H
Close breaks above the prior 20-bar high; exit on close below the channel middle.
Our backtest: -91% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +1280%, DD 61%, PF 1.37, 296 trades. Good sample, deep DD
MTF RSI 4H + 1D SMA200 filter 4H
RSI(14) dips below 30 on 4H while the prior daily close is above daily SMA(200); exit RSI > 70.
Our backtest: -35% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +34.8%, DD 23.5%, PF 1.78, 18 trades (2024-01 to 2026-05, 0.1% fee). Clean method, tiny sample
RSI(14) Mean Reversion 4H 4H
Buy when RSI(14) crosses below 30, sell when it crosses above 70.
Our backtest: -71% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +27.2%, DD 42.4%, 23 trades (same study). Control for mtf_rsi_4h
MACD(12,26,9) + RSI>50 4H 4H
MACD(12,26,9) bull cross with RSI(14) > 50; exit on MACD bear cross.
Our backtest: -93% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +581%, DD 22%, 174 trades (2020-2026). Good
MACD + RSI>50 + SMA200 4H 4H
MACD(12,26,9) bull cross with RSI(14) > 50 and close above 4H SMA(200); exit on MACD bear cross.
Our backtest: -76% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +492%, DD 17%, 112 trades (2020-2026). Good, best DD
2.5% below SMA20 4H 4H
Buy when close first drops 2.5% below SMA(20); sell when close crosses back above SMA(20).
Our backtest: -97% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +30.1%, Sharpe 2.52 (bull regime only). Regime-dependent
EMA 21/55 4H 4H
Long on EMA(21) crossing above EMA(55); flat on the cross back below.
Our backtest: -5% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: +9%, 3 trades over 3 months. Weak; kept as a trend baseline
1.25% below SMA20 1H 1H
Buy when close first drops 1.25% below SMA(20); sell when close crosses back above SMA(20).
Our backtest: -100% at Kraken costs · FAIL
CoinQuant reported: Scaled variant of dist_ma_4h (same study). Weak; adds trade count

How it works

  • A bot checks every strategy once a minute and acts only when a 1-hour or 4-hour bar closes. It reads the last closed bar and buys or sells at market. It trades long only, with no leverage.
  • Each strategy has its own $1,000 paper account split across BTC-USD, ETH-USD and SOL-USD.
  • Fills are simulated against Coinbase's public price feed. We charge Kraken's entry-tier taker fee plus an estimated half-spread on every side. The toggle above re-prices the same trades under other exchanges' costs.
  • Buy-and-hold buys all three coins on day one and never sells. A strategy has to beat that to be worth the effort.
  • If a strategy's rules change, its scoreboard restarts. The old record is kept, not merged.

Also see our stock playbook paper portfolios.

Please read. This is simulated paper trading. No real money is at risk, and no orders reach an exchange. Fills are simulated from Coinbase public prices, with modeled fees and spread, and real fills would differ. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any cryptocurrency. Past and hypothetical performance does not guarantee future results, and a few weeks of trades say little about any edge. Strategy rules are credited to CoinQuant; each strategy page links to its source article. Six7 Alpha is not affiliated with CoinQuant.

Full risk disclaimer